Re: 07 ECNL

by cenTex 22/10/20, 01:16 pm

Should be a relatively comfortable stroll through central Texas for the Dallas teams this weekend. DKSC needs a pair of wins to keep pace in the hunt for Champions League places. And two must-win games for Sting Black to keep alive any flickering hopes.

My guesses:
DKSC 3-0 Sting Austin
Sting Black 3-0 Classics Elite
DKSC 5-0 Classics Elite
Sting Black 2-1 Sting Austin

by cenTex 26/10/20, 11:40 pm

Big weekend. We will find out a lot about several teams.

My predictions:

Saturday
Sting Royal -3 Challenge
Texans pick'em Sting Black
Solar -2 DKSC
Tulsa -1 Sting Austin
CE -1 Celtic
Albion pick'em FCD

Sunday
DKSC -2 Texans
Tulsa -3 CE
Solar -4 Sting Black
Sting Austin -3 Celtic
Sting Royal -1 Albion
FCD -2 Challenge

The two Houston teams head into Dallas with a combined 9-1 record and both are top 3 in the conference (based on their record). Perhaps I'm not giving them enough respect in my guesses, but they'll need to pull off some results this weekend in their first go round with Dallas teams to stay there.

Sting Royal has an easier slate of games in the coming months, and two wins this weekend could vault them up the table and secure an inside track toward a top 3 finish.

DKSC are one of the teams capable of giving Solar a good run. Like Tulsa (who had two close games with Solar), it isn't pretty soccer, but they are physical, athletic, and are not fun to play against. Possible upset alert in this one.

by footballnerd 31/10/20, 10:58 am

Challenge 2 vs. Sting Royal 1

by KeepTheBall 01/11/20, 12:03 pm

Any score update? Solar vs DKSC?

by footballnerd 01/11/20, 05:11 pm

Sunday:
Challenge 1 - FCD 1
Albion 0 - Sting Royal 0
Saturday:
Challenge 2 - Sting Royal 1
FCD 2 - Albion 1

by KeepTheBall 02/11/20, 12:10 pm

Anyone know why it takes ECNL FOREVER to get scores posted? This is beyond terrible.

by Truthiness 02/11/20, 12:50 pm

It is awful. And the website is awful.
But neither are half as bad as the refereeing.

by AtThePitch 02/11/20, 01:58 pm

KeepTheBall wrote:Anyone know why it takes ECNL FOREVER to get scores posted? This is beyond terrible.

Scores are not posted if the home team does not update TGS. Generally speaking this is the managers duty.

by KeepTheBall 02/11/20, 02:13 pm

Truthiness wrote:It is awful. And the website is awful.
But neither are half as bad as the refereeing.

From what I have seen, I concur. Officiating has been very substandard, IMO. This is from watching multiple age groups. There have been some seriously cringeworthy calls and no calls. I expected officiating to be better. This isn't rec ball.

by cenTex 02/11/20, 10:28 pm

Figured I'd take a stab at some power rankings this week, but other than Celtic and Classics Elite being at the bottom, and probably Solar at the top, I have no idea how to separate teams 2 through 10. I guess rounding out my top 3 based on the quality of results so far would probably be DKSC and Challenge.

by Checkpoint Charlie 02/11/20, 11:40 pm

Truthiness wrote:It is awful. And the website is awful.
But neither are half as bad as the refereeing.

#MAGA

by footballnerd 06/11/20, 07:04 pm

cenTex wrote:Figured I'd take a stab at some power rankings this week, but other than Celtic and Classics Elite being at the bottom, and probably Solar at the top, I have no idea how to separate teams 2 through 10. I guess rounding out my top 3 based on the quality of results so far would probably be DKSC and Challenge.

Stab @ Power Rankings a/o 05/11/20
1. Solar
2. Challenge
3. DKSC
4. FCD/AHSC
6. Royal
7. Tulsa
8. Texans
9. Black
10. Austin
11. Celtic
12. CE

by 07soccerdad 30/03/21, 07:17 pm

timmyh wrote:I think the top two and bottom two are likely. No idea how to rank the middle 8 teams at this point.

Sting seems to be the most likely candidate to challenge for a title out of that middle group. Depending on how players get allocated, seems they are either going to have one really good team that could challenge for a title, or two solid middle of the pack teams. I think it's too early to tell, but I suppose you're thinking it's the former?

Down the back stretch we go...care to re-rank the middle 8? (which was a good call)

by timmyh 31/03/21, 12:40 am

07soccerdad wrote:
timmyh wrote:I think the top two and bottom two are likely. No idea how to rank the middle 8 teams at this point.

Sting seems to be the most likely candidate to challenge for a title out of that middle group. Depending on how players get allocated, seems they are either going to have one really good team that could challenge for a title, or two solid middle of the pack teams. I think it's too early to tell, but I suppose you're thinking it's the former?

Down the back stretch we go...care to re-rank the middle 8? (which was a good call)

I will try...

1. Solar
Just about locked up the #1 spot.
Gap...

2. DKSC
gap..

Close to locking up a Champ League spot
Gap...

3. Sting Royal
4. FCD
5. Challenge
6. Texans
Just spitting back the standings would be boring, so will mix it up. If I had to bet on who will actually snag the 3rd Champions League spot, my money would be on FCD.
Gap...

7. Tulsa
8. Albion
9. Sting Black
Gap...

10. Sting Austin
Gap...

11. Classics Elite
12. Celtic

by Truthiness 10/04/21, 10:03 pm

Question for the group in case anybody knows.

I see YNT Talent ID Centers have been rolling out for 06/05/04/03. Will there be any for the 07s this spring?

The 07s will be the backbone of the 2024 U17 World Cup. Would have thought they would have started evaluating things by now.

by R9D 12/04/21, 03:43 pm

timmyh wrote:
07soccerdad wrote:
timmyh wrote:I think the top two and bottom two are likely. No idea how to rank the middle 8 teams at this point.

Sting seems to be the most likely candidate to challenge for a title out of that middle group. Depending on how players get allocated, seems they are either going to have one really good team that could challenge for a title, or two solid middle of the pack teams. I think it's too early to tell, but I suppose you're thinking it's the former?

Down the back stretch we go...care to re-rank the middle 8? (which was a good call)

I will try...

1. Solar
Just about locked up the #1 spot.
Gap...

2. DKSC
gap..

Close to locking up a Champ League spot
Gap...

3. Sting Royal
4. FCD
5. Challenge
6. Texans
Just spitting back the standings would be boring, so will mix it up. If I had to bet on who will actually snag the 3rd Champions League spot, my money would be on FCD.
Gap...

7. Tulsa
8. Albion
9. Sting Black
Gap...

10. Sting Austin
Gap...

11. Classics Elite
12. Celtic

I'll go based on current form, not predicted finish:

1. Solar
huge gap..

2. Sting Royal
3. DKFC/FCD/Tulsa
4.
5.
6. Challenge/Texans
7.
8. Sting Black
9. Albion

10. Sting Austin

11. Classics Elite
12. Celtic

but I think top four finish will be
1. Solar
2. Sting Royal
3. DKFC
4. FCD

by 07soccerdad 12/04/21, 05:15 pm

R9D wrote:
timmyh wrote:
07soccerdad wrote:
timmyh wrote:I think the top two and bottom two are likely. No idea how to rank the middle 8 teams at this point.

Sting seems to be the most likely candidate to challenge for a title out of that middle group. Depending on how players get allocated, seems they are either going to have one really good team that could challenge for a title, or two solid middle of the pack teams. I think it's too early to tell, but I suppose you're thinking it's the former?

Down the back stretch we go...care to re-rank the middle 8? (which was a good call)

I will try...

1. Solar
Just about locked up the #1 spot.
Gap...

2. DKSC
gap..

Close to locking up a Champ League spot
Gap...

3. Sting Royal
4. FCD
5. Challenge
6. Texans
Just spitting back the standings would be boring, so will mix it up. If I had to bet on who will actually snag the 3rd Champions League spot, my money would be on FCD.
Gap...

7. Tulsa
8. Albion
9. Sting Black
Gap...

10. Sting Austin
Gap...

11. Classics Elite
12. Celtic

I'll go based on current form, not predicted finish:

1. Solar
huge gap..

2. Sting Royal
3. DKFC/FCD/Tulsa
4.
5.
6. Challenge/Texans
7.
8. Sting Black
9. Albion

10. Sting Austin

11. Classics Elite
12. Celtic

but I think top four finish will be
1. Solar
2. Sting Royal
3. DKFC
4. FCD

R9D - Sting Royal finishing 2nd? You either have a kid on that team or you don't follow this league (or the current standings/ remaining schedule) at all! Good luck to you:)

by R9D 12/04/21, 05:48 pm

07soccerdad wrote:
R9D wrote:
timmyh wrote:
07soccerdad wrote:
timmyh wrote:I think the top two and bottom two are likely. No idea how to rank the middle 8 teams at this point.

Sting seems to be the most likely candidate to challenge for a title out of that middle group. Depending on how players get allocated, seems they are either going to have one really good team that could challenge for a title, or two solid middle of the pack teams. I think it's too early to tell, but I suppose you're thinking it's the former?

Down the back stretch we go...care to re-rank the middle 8? (which was a good call)

I will try...

1. Solar
Just about locked up the #1 spot.
Gap...

2. DKSC
gap..

Close to locking up a Champ League spot
Gap...

3. Sting Royal
4. FCD
5. Challenge
6. Texans
Just spitting back the standings would be boring, so will mix it up. If I had to bet on who will actually snag the 3rd Champions League spot, my money would be on FCD.
Gap...

7. Tulsa
8. Albion
9. Sting Black
Gap...

10. Sting Austin
Gap...

11. Classics Elite
12. Celtic

I'll go based on current form, not predicted finish:

1. Solar
huge gap..

2. Sting Royal
3. DKFC/FCD/Tulsa
4.
5.
6. Challenge/Texans
7.
8. Sting Black
9. Albion

10. Sting Austin

11. Classics Elite
12. Celtic

but I think top four finish will be
1. Solar
2. Sting Royal
3. DKFC
4. FCD

R9D - Sting Royal finishing 2nd? You either have a kid on that team or you don't follow this league (or the current standings/ remaining schedule) at all! Good luck to you:)

No to all of that. Don’t have a kid on that team. Don’t follow the standings or remaining schedule closely. Just based on what I have watched over the past month or so. Maybe there’s no way they catch DKFC. The results have been so all over the place this year for the 07s, that all I see as as sure things are solar and the bottom 2

by cenTex 12/04/21, 08:15 pm

Edit deleting this one and reposting below to include RD9 info about the Tulsa/SB tie.

by R9D 12/04/21, 08:21 pm

Tulsa and Sting Black tied yesterday so that makes both their paths more difficult as well.

by cenTex 12/04/21, 08:31 pm

Updating based on that tie...

My hunch is 41 points (1.86/game) should be enough to have a very good chance of securing a Champions League bid. DKSC, FCD, Challenge, Tulsa, Sting Black, and Sting Royal can all theoretically get there. 6 teams battling for two spots (behind Solar).

For giggles, if we assume from here on out everybody loses to Solar and beats Albion, Sting Austin, Classics Elite, and Celtic (which is obviously not a safe assumption, but humor me)...

FC Dallas would already be on 40 points with games vs Challenge and Texans. Need to go 0-1-1 to get to 41 points.

DKSC would be on 31 points with games vs Texans twice, Sting Black. Tulsa, and Challenge. Need to go 3-1-1 to get to 41 points.

Texans would be on 29 points with games against DKSC twice, Sting Black twice, FCD, Sting Royal, and Challenge. Need to go 4-3 to get to 41 points.

Challenge would be on 27 points with games vs Tulsa, FCD, Sting Royal, Texans, DKSC, and Sting Black. Need to go 4-0-2 or 5-1 to get to 41 points.

Tulsa would be on 32 points with games vs Sting Black, Challenge, and DKSC. Need to go 3-0 to get to 41 points.

Sting Royal would be on 37 points with games vs Challenge and Texans. Need to go 1-0-1 to get to 41 points.

Sting Black would be on 27 points with games vs DKSC, Tulsa, Texans twice, and Challenge. Need to go 5-0 to get past 41 points.

The Sting Black path is the only one that seems very unlikely, Tulsa and Challenge have little margin for error and a tough path, but any of the rest seem reasonable enough that none would be a shock.

Which two of the above pathways seem most likely to you?

by R9D 12/04/21, 08:36 pm

FCD and Sting Royal

by cenTex 12/04/21, 09:00 pm

For me (out of 300%, 100% for each of 3 spots), something like...
99% Solar
65% FCD
60% DKSC
40% Royal
30% Texans
5% Challenge
1% Tulsa

by cenTex 29/04/21, 12:05 am

cenTex wrote:

For giggles, if we assume from here on out everybody loses to Solar and beats Albion, Sting Austin, Classics Elite, and Celtic (which is obviously not a safe assumption, but humor me)...

Well that silly assumption did not even hold up for a single weekend (Sting Austin beat DKSC and Challenge tied Celtic).

Neither FCD or Texans played a game, but both had a pretty good weekend.

by smugrr 30/04/21, 03:43 pm

Rain, rain and more rain. But tryouts and more tryouts next week.

by cenTex 26/05/21, 12:51 pm

Champions League outlook heading into the final weekends...

100% Solar 61 pts...One game left (DKSC)
90% FCD 37 pts...Three games left (Challenge, Albion, Texans)
70% Sting Royal 37 points...Two games left (Challenge, Albion)
40% DKSC 38 points...Two games left (Sting Black, Solar)

DKSC needs either a good result vs Solar or a lot of help from the Houston teams.

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